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Next Stop for Denver’s Public Transit: Recovery

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Lorne Fultonberg

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Lorne Fultonberg
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Lorne.Fultonberg@du.edu

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303 871-2660

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Light rail at ³Ô¹Ï´ó±¾Óª station

This article originally appeared in the Summer 2021 issue of University ofÌýDenver Magazine. Visit theÌýÌýfor bonus content and to read the article in its original format.

As the COVID-19Ìýpandemic shut down the CityÌýand CountyÌýof DenverÌýin spring 2020, the Regional Transportation District’s buses and trainsÌýdutifullyÌýkept running. The only problem:ÌýThere was no place to go.Ìý

Buildings sat empty, restaurants closed, employees shifted to remote work,ÌýandÌýpeople avoided crowds and indoor public spaces.ÌýWith its ridership no longer riding,ÌýRTD suffered.Ìý

Andy Goetz
Andy Goetz

“It’s almostÌýlikeÌýthe worst of all worlds when you think about it in terms of a pandemic and transit,â€�Ìýsays , a professor in the who specializes in transportation and urban studies.Ìý“Simply because of the concern about spreading COVID on trains and buses, that caused a lot of people to rethink how they would get around for whatever it was they needed.â€�Ìý

While nearly every sector of the economy felt the pain of the pandemic, few took it on the chin like the world’s transit agencies. Ridership in the United States dropped by nearly 80% in 2020, .ÌýDespite stepped-up safety protocols, passengersÌýremained cautiousÌýand wary. found only 18% of respondents felt safe onboard, fewer than those who felt safe visiting friends orÌýpatronizingÌýa grocery store.Ìý

In response, RTD suspended or eliminated service on some of its bus routes, determined to support its busiest lines, including those that serve hospital workers and other first responders.Ìý

For the sake of safety, the agency waived fares for all riders in April 2020, allowing passengers to board from the back of the bus. But the bigger hit to revenue came from decreased collections in sales andÌýuseÌýtaxes. TheseÌýmake up more than half of RTD’s assets.Ìý

Although the business world is beginning to gain a foothold with the widespread distribution of COVID-19 vaccines, Goetz estimates RTD’s pain is far from over.Ìý

“They’re facing shortfalls not only this year, but for several years into the future,â€�Ìýhe says.Ìý“They’re anticipating that ridership won’t get back to 2019 levels until 2025 at the earliest.ÌýSoÌýthis is a multiyear hit that transit is taking.â€�Ìý

What will transit look like in a post-pandemic world?ÌýThe unprecedented circumstances have spurredÌýplenty ofÌýchanges, and notÌýallÌýfor the worse.Ìý

Beginning this summer, RTD willÌýlaunchÌýa study on reducing its fares,Ìýwith an eye toward shedding its title as one of the most expensive systems in the country.ÌýA new law, signed in May byÌýColoradoÌýGov. Jared Polis,Ìýprovides the agency new flexibility to tinker with what it charges.Ìý

Plus, an influx of federal funding from COVID relief bills and a new infrastructure package couldÌýaid the creation ofÌýÌýstretching from Fort Collins to Pueblo.ÌýGoetz says RTD may be able to use those tracks to finishÌýitsÌýlong-delayedÌýB Line to Boulder and Longmont.Ìý

Ultimately though, Goetz says, transit will be forced to overcome the same challenges it had before the pandemic—competing with the convenience of a carÌýandÌýdoing so in an environment likely more amenable toÌýremote work.ÌýPlus,ÌýGoetz expectsÌýenthusiasm for new transit projectsÌýto cool, bluntingÌýthe opportunities to expand technology and reach.Ìý

“The problem going forward is just going to be, how do you generate that level of support when your ridership is going down?â€�Ìýhe says.Ìý“That’s going to be a tough struggle politically that a lot of people are going to have a hard time supporting. Both here locally and what’s likely going to be the case nationally, we’re going to see transit really struggling.â€�Ìý

Even so, when Goetz takes aÌýwider look at the landscape, he sees reasons for optimism. Environmentally, the pandemic has facilitatedÌýsome of the changes transit was designed to accomplish.ÌýÌý

“One of the things that we’re trying to do overall is to reduce the negative impacts that travel has:Ìýusing energy,Ìý[increasing]Ìýemissions in terms of greenhouse gases, more air pollution, local air pollution,â€�Ìýhe says.Ìý“There’s a real benefit to reducing the demand for travel overall.â€�Ìý